How Many Missiles Does Iran Have Left in 2026?

Somewhere between 2,500 and a little over 3,000 ballistic missiles, although no government has published an exact count.

The Israeli military said Iran had about 2,500 missiles when the war began, the Jerusalem Post reported on April 5. The same report noted that the Israel Defense Forces had raised its own estimate from 2,500 in June 2025 to 3,000 a few months later. The highest official American figure is older. In March 2022, General Kenneth McKenzie, then head of US Central Command, told the Senate Armed Services Committee that Iran had “over 3,000 ballistic missiles of various types.” Iran then fired close to 600 missiles at Israel during the twelve-day war of June 2025. Before that war, US intelligence put its output at about 50 missiles a month.

Well over 1,800 in the first five weeks, if Israeli and Gulf counts are added together. Nobody has published a full total for the war.

By early April, Israel counted more than 500 missiles fired at it. The Gulf states said about 1,300 had been fired at them collectively, according to the Jerusalem Post’s April 5 report. The Gulf figure may include cruise missiles as well as ballistic ones.

Iran’s firing rate collapsed early. By the fourth day of the war it had fallen below 20 missiles a day, and it fell further in March. The White House said on April 8 that US forces had struck more than 450 ballistic missile targets. Iran has kept firing at US bases, Gulf states and shipping on a smaller scale since the April 8 ceasefire, so the total is higher today.

The arithmetic shows why the estimates disagree. If Iran started with 2,500 missiles and fired about 1,800, it could not have kept 70 percent of them. Either the pre-war arsenal was larger than Israel’s figure, or the Gulf tally counts more than ballistic missiles, or both.

Most likely between several hundred and about 2,000. Where an estimate falls in that range depends on who made it.

US intelligence sits at the high end. Classified assessments in early May found that Iran kept about 70 percent of its pre-war missile stockpile, The New York Times and The Washington Post reported. The same assessments said Iran had regained access to about 90 percent of its underground missile storage and launch sites, and to 30 of its 33 missile sites along the Strait of Hormuz. Seventy percent of 2,500 to 3,000 missiles is about 1,750 to 2,100. Western assessments in June put the share of pre-war munitions still in Iran’s hands at about three-quarters.

The White House sits at the low end. Trump said in May that Iran had 18 to 19 percent of its missiles left, and told NBC News on June 5 that the figure was “maybe 21, 22 percent.” On a pre-war stock of 2,500, that would be about 550. In April, most Israeli military analysts thought Iran had several hundred missiles left, while an Israeli Air Force colonel quoted by Channel 12 put the number above 1,000.

The newest assessment leans high. Western officials told Bloomberg on October 9 that Iran remains “well-stocked with ballistic missiles” and can quickly add more. One of them said Russia is supplying missiles. The White House rejected that account.

At least 400, Israeli security officials said on October 15. That is close to the 420 they believe Iran had before the war, Iran International reported, citing Israel’s Channel 16.

Launchers limit Iran more than missiles do, because a missile in a tunnel is useless without a truck to fire it from. In March, the Israeli military said it had put most of Iran’s launchers out of action. By April it estimated that 70 to 80 percent had been knocked out at least for a time, about half destroyed and half buried under rubble at tunnel entrances. Buried launchers can be dug out, and Iran has been digging. By early May, US intelligence assessed that Iran still had about 70 to 75 percent of its mobile launchers.

Yes, but slowly for now, and mostly from parts made before the war. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on September 30 that the United States had destroyed Iran’s “military industrial capacity.” The evidence since then points the other way.

The Wall Street Journal reported in September that Iran had resumed assembling ballistic missiles underground from components stockpiled before the war. Satellite images studied by the Foreign Policy Research Institute and released in October show new tunnelling at the Parchin, Khojir and Shahroud missile complexes. All three remain heavily damaged, however. The researchers estimated that Iran could restart serious production in about a year if it concentrates on a single site and can obtain the equipment. Israeli officials say reconstruction is moving faster than their early estimates projected.

Iranian output also matters beyond Iran. The Houthis’ longest-range missiles, now fired at Saudi cities, are Iranian designs.

The medium-range ones. Israel lies about 1,200 kilometres from western Iran and roughly 1,600 kilometres from Tehran. That puts it within range of the Shahab-3 (about 1,300 km), the Emad (1,700 km), the Ghadr (1,950 km), and the Sejjil and Khorramshahr (about 2,000 km each), according to the CSIS Missile Threat project. Iran’s newer Kheibar Shekan and Fattah missiles belong to the same class.

The shorter-range Fateh-110, Fateh-313, Qiam-1 and Zolfaghar, with ranges of about 200 to 800 kilometres, cannot reach Israel from Iranian soil. They can reach US bases and cities across the Gulf, which is where so many of Iran’s missiles have landed this year. Shooting them down has been costly too. On CSIS estimates, US stocks of Patriot interceptors have fallen by about two-thirds since February, and each THAAD interceptor costs about $12.7 million.