Section
France’s high-school protests have no leader and no demands, and police cannot negotiate with them. After more than 5,000 arrests in a week, the TikTok-driven revolt will not topple Macron, who is leaving anyway. It will be hijacked, and the far right is best placed to collect.
Sisi hosted the leaders of Eritrea, Sudan and Somalia as Ethiopian forces took Mekelle. The message to Abiy Ahmed is plain: Ethiopia’s war of distance against Egypt is over, and an attack on Eritrea would mean fighting four states.
Rubio released the $320 million Washington used to withhold from Egypt, crediting Cairo’s role in the Iran war. In the same weeks, Israeli media turned on a railway across Sinai. Both stories say the same thing: Egypt has made itself indispensable, and a developed Sinai is what Israel fears most.
Biden’s former national security adviser told Silent Dossier that Sisi was candid with Washington, blamed Congress for Egypt’s aid cuts, refused to discuss Rafah and said the Gaza war and Palestinian demands stopped Saudi normalization. The Congress answer does not hold up.
Drones are reaching Addis Ababa, Eritrea has cut ties and Abiy Ahmed’s answer is to blame Egypt without evidence. Cairo’s same-night expulsion of an Ethiopian counsellor was a warning: the next step is ambassadors.
Egypt kept the region’s largest army out of Gaza, the Iran war and the Houthi crisis, and that restraint was a strategy, not weakness. All three wars are still burning, though, and Ethiopia’s renewed fighting in Tigray and its feud with Eritrea could pull Egypt into a fourth.
Ethiopia’s army chief accuses Egypt and Sudan of arming the rebels closing in on Abiy Ahmed, but offers no evidence. The accusation hides a military in trouble, and the collapse it points to is the real threat to the Nile.
Abbas Kamel’s secret 67-minute visit to Israel before October 7 was not betrayal. Egypt warned that Gaza would explode. Netanyahu had the warnings and let the explosion come, and Egypt is paying the price.
Israel has released the story of a 1973 reconnaissance flight downed by Egyptian missiles over the Suez Canal. It exposes Israel’s blindness, the strength of Egypt’s missile wall, and Egypt’s failure to honour its own soldiers.
