Katz Threatens Nabatieh While Netanyahu Rules Out an Iran Strike and Araghchi Calls Beirut
Katz threatens to take Nabatieh if Hezbollah joins an Iranian attack, Araghchi calls Aoun, and Netanyahu rules out a pre-election strike on Iran.

In this article
Context
Israel’s defense minister told reporters on a visit to the buffer zone in southern Lebanon on Wednesday that Hezbollah would lose more ground if it joined an Iranian attack. The same day, Iran’s foreign minister phoned Lebanon’s president, and Israel’s prime minister said on Army Radio that he is not seeking a pre-election strike on Iran.
Israel votes on 27 October. Reuters reports that the United States and Israel have been at war with Iran since 28 February and that Israel and Iran have not exchanged fire since June. Lebanon and Israel signed a framework agreement in June, which The New Arab says “made little progress towards ending the violence.”
Key takeaways
Defense Minister Israel Katz said Israel would take Nabatieh and the Litani area if Hezbollah joined an Iranian attack. Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told Lebanon’s president that Israel’s occupation of the south must end, according to Iranian outlets. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told Army Radio that a pre-election strike on Iran “is not convenient for us.” The Lebanese presidency’s account of the Araghchi call, as relayed by Middle East Monitor, speaks of diplomacy and does not mention the occupation.
What was said in Lebanon and on the call
Katz spoke on the morning of Wednesday 14 October during a visit to the Israeli military’s buffer zone, the Times of Israel reported. The Times of Israel quotes him: “If Hezbollah joins Iran in an attack on Israel, it will be dealt a heavy blow.” The territory would be lost “in the areas of Nabatieh and the Litani,” and would “become part of Israel’s permanent security zone.”
He added that “the IDF is prepared to carry out the ground offensive.” Beirut’s southern suburbs, Dahiyeh, “will also be evacuated, and its terror infrastructure will be struck.” By his count, “more than one million Shiites will become displaced in Lebanon.” He then turned to Hezbollah’s leadership: “Nasrallah destroyed Lebanon’s Shiite community before he was eliminated,” and Naim Qassem “could annihilate it completely, until he too is eliminated.”
The Jerusalem Post reports that this was the first time in months an Israeli official explicitly threatened Nabatieh, which the government had wanted to seize before a ceasefire imposed by Donald Trump stopped it. Katz framed the expansion as retaliation only, the paper says.
Earlier on Wednesday, Araghchi phoned President Joseph Aoun. Press TV, an Iranian state broadcaster, reported that he “underscored the necessity of an end to Israel’s attacks against Lebanon and the regime’s occupation of the southern region.” Iran’s Foreign Ministry readout, as relayed by Middle East Monitor, said he also briefed Aoun on Iran’s diplomatic efforts. The Lebanese presidency’s statement said both sides agreed on “the need to support diplomatic solutions as the best means of ending conflicts in the region.”
Press TV ties the demand to a “14-point Pakistan-brokered Memorandum of Understanding” signed with Washington on 17 June, which it says “calls for a permanent end to hostilities across all fronts, including Lebanon.” Deputy Foreign Minister Saeed Khatibzadeh arrived at Beirut airport the same day, according to Lebanese reports of the call.
What Netanyahu said about Iran
In an interview with Israel’s Army Radio, reported by Reuters, Netanyahu answered rivals who say he wants a confrontation before the vote. A preemptive strike, he said, “is not convenient for us, it’s no good.” He added: “Even if Iran fires missiles at us they will blame me.” He repeated that Israel would respond forcefully if attacked, and said Iran’s proxies were also looking to hit Israel before the election.
Reuters says he declined to say whether a strike could come after the election and would not discuss his recent talks with Washington about Iran.
Analysis
How the three statements fit together
Katz’s threat, as the Times of Israel quotes it, is conditional on an Iranian attack. Netanyahu, speaking the same day, told Army Radio that Iran’s proxies were also looking to attack Israel before the vote, and that a strike by Israel is not convenient. Both leave the trigger with Tehran and Hezbollah.
Araghchi’s call set the occupation of the south beside Iran’s own deal with Washington. Press TV links the demand to the 17 June memorandum and its clause on Lebanon. The Lebanese presidency’s summary, as Middle East Monitor relays it, speaks only of “diplomatic solutions.”
The election frames all of it. The New Arab says the Israeli government is using security incidents and hardline rhetoric to appeal to far-right voters. The Jerusalem Post notes that many of Katz’s election-season threats have been rhetoric with few leading to major new military action, and that similar trial balloons in earlier fighting with Hezbollah were followed by expanded invasions.
No named analyst appears in the coverage of the three statements. The New Arab recalls that Hezbollah said in March it was joining the war to support Iran and to avenge the killing of Ali Khamenei. Neither Hezbollah nor the Lebanese government had answered Katz when the Jerusalem Post and the Times of Israel filed.
Analysis
What is the Israeli security zone in southern Lebanon?
Israeli forces hold a strip of southern Lebanon after fighting resumed on 2 March, according to The New Arab. The Jerusalem Post says the army controls much of the south up to about 10 kilometres from the border. Katz says the territory would “become part of Israel’s permanent security zone.” Lebanon’s health ministry, cited by The New Arab, says Israeli attacks over three years killed 8,596 people and wounded 30,660.
What to watch
Israel votes on 27 October. Hezbollah has yet to answer Katz in its own words. Al Jadeed, citing political sources, reported that Beirut was awaiting an Iranian message for Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, which Khatibzadeh might carry. Netanyahu left open the question of a strike after the vote, and that answer comes after the count.
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